Minnesota State
W-L: (18-19) PR = 96.6268Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 919 A RPI AC ( 7-28, 93.6) 3- 0 920 A RPI AC ( 7-28, 93.6) 5- 3 1003 H Lindenwood L (15-22, 94.8) 4- 0 1004 H Lindenwood L (15-22, 94.8) 3- 2 1010 H St. Thomas HA (12-23, 96.2) 1- 2 1011 H St. Thomas HA (12-23, 96.2) 3- 0 1017 A Minnesota Duluth HA (21-13, 97.7) 0- 5 1018 A Minnesota Duluth HA (21-13, 97.7) 1- 3 1025 A Wisconsin HA (30- 6, 99.8) 0- 4 1026 A Wisconsin HA (30- 6, 99.8) 0- 8 1031 H Bemidji State HA ( 7-25, 95.1) 2- 2 1101 H Bemidji State HA ( 7-25, 95.1) 2- 0 1114 A Ohio State HA (35- 4, 99.9) 2- 5 1115 A Ohio State HA (35- 4, 99.9) 3- 7 1121 A Minnesota HA (24-12, 98.4) 3- 1 1122 H Minnesota HA (24-12, 98.4) 4- 1 1128 H Dartmouth AC ( 5-23, 93.9) 5- 2 1129 H Dartmouth AC ( 5-23, 93.9) 5- 0 1129 H Sacred Heart WHA (14-27, 93.4) 2- 0 1205 H St. Cloud State HA (11-24, 96.6) 0- 4 1206 H St. Cloud State HA (11-24, 96.6) 3- 2 109 H Minnesota HA (24-12, 98.4) 3- 1 110 A Minnesota HA (24-12, 98.4) 3- 4 116 H Ohio State HA (35- 4, 99.9) 4- 7 117 H Ohio State HA (35- 4, 99.9) 1- 4 123 H Minnesota Duluth HA (21-13, 97.7) 124 H Minnesota Duluth HA (21-13, 97.7) 0- 3 130 A Bemidji State HA ( 7-25, 95.1) 3- 0 131 A Bemidji State HA ( 7-25, 95.1) 1- 2 206 A St. Cloud State HA (11-24, 96.6) 1- 5 207 A St. Cloud State HA (11-24, 96.6) 4- 1 213 H Wisconsin HA (30- 6, 99.8) 1- 4 214 H Wisconsin HA (30- 6, 99.8) 1- 5 220 A St. Thomas HA (12-23, 96.2) 5- 2 221 A St. Thomas HA (12-23, 96.2) 4- 3 227 A Minnesota Duluth HA (21-13, 97.7) 0- 2 228 A Minnesota Duluth HA (21-13, 97.7) 2- 3 301 A Minnesota Duluth HA (21-13, 97.7) 2- 1 305 A Wisconsin HA (30- 6, 99.8) 2- 7
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
919 A RPI 3- 0 3 3 0.33
920 A RPI 5- 3 2 3 -0.67
1003 H Lindenwood 4- 0 4 2 1.77
1004 H Lindenwood 3- 2 1 2 -1.23
1010 H St. Thomas 1- 2 -1 1 -1.79
1011 H St. Thomas 3- 0 3 1 + 2.21
1017 A Minnesota Duluth 0- 5 -5 -2 - -3.49
1018 A Minnesota Duluth 1- 3 -2 -2 -0.49
1025 A Wisconsin 0- 4 -4 -4 -0.44
1026 A Wisconsin 0- 8 -8 -4 -- -4.44
1031 H Bemidji State 2- 2 0 2 -1.92
1101 H Bemidji State 2- 0 2 2 0.08
1114 A Ohio State 2- 5 -3 -4 0.66
1115 A Ohio State 3- 7 -4 -4 -0.34
1121 A Minnesota 3- 1 2 -2 ++ 4.12
1122 H Minnesota 4- 1 3 -1 ++ 4.35
1128 H Dartmouth 5- 2 3 3 -0.10
1129 H Dartmouth 5- 0 5 3 1.90
1129 H Sacred Heart 2- 0 2 4 -1.63
1205 H St. Cloud State 0- 4 -4 0 -- -4.43
1206 H St. Cloud State 3- 2 1 0 0.57
109 H Minnesota 3- 1 2 -1 + 3.35
110 A Minnesota 3- 4 -1 -2 1.12
116 H Ohio State 4- 7 -3 -3 -0.11
117 H Ohio State 1- 4 -3 -3 -0.11
124 H Minnesota Duluth 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.26
130 A Bemidji State 3- 0 3 1 1.85
131 A Bemidji State 1- 2 -1 1 - -2.15
206 A St. Cloud State 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.66
207 A St. Cloud State 4- 1 3 0 + 3.34
213 H Wisconsin 1- 4 -3 -3 -0.21
214 H Wisconsin 1- 5 -4 -3 -1.21
220 A St. Thomas 5- 2 3 0 + 2.98
221 A St. Thomas 4- 3 1 0 0.98
227 A Minnesota Duluth 0- 2 -2 -2 -0.49
228 A Minnesota Duluth 2- 3 -1 -2 0.51
301 A Minnesota Duluth 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.51
305 A Wisconsin 2- 7 -5 -4 -1.44
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1026 A Wisconsin 0- 8 -8 -4 -- -4.44 1205 H St. Cloud State 0- 4 -4 0 -- -4.43 1017 A Minnesota Duluth 0- 5 -5 -2 - -3.49 124 H Minnesota Duluth 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.26 131 A Bemidji State 1- 2 -1 1 - -2.15 206 A St. Cloud State 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.66 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1121 A Minnesota 3- 1 2 -2 ++ 4.12 1122 H Minnesota 4- 1 3 -1 ++ 4.35 1011 H St. Thomas 3- 0 3 1 + 2.21 109 H Minnesota 3- 1 2 -1 + 3.35 207 A St. Cloud State 4- 1 3 0 + 3.34 220 A St. Thomas 5- 2 3 0 + 2.98 301 A Minnesota Duluth 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.51 |
Minnesota State Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware | Minnesota State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Minnesota State | |
| Lindenwood | Minnesota State | Minnesota State | ||
| Mercyhurst | Minnesota State | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Minnesota State | |
| Penn State | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Penn State | |
| RIT | Minnesota State | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) | Minnesota State | |
| Robert Morris | Minnesota State | Minnesota State 3- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Syracuse | Minnesota State | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Minnesota State | |
| Brown | Minnesota State | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Minnesota State | |
| Clarkson | Clarkson | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Clarkson | |
| Colgate | Minnesota State | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Minnesota State | |
| Cornell | Cornell | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Cornell | |
| Dartmouth | Minnesota State | Minnesota State | ||
| Harvard | Minnesota State | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) | Minnesota State | |
| Princeton | Princeton | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 0) | Princeton | |
| Quinnipiac | Quinnipiac | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 0) | Quinnipiac | |
| RPI | Minnesota State | Minnesota State | ||
| St. Lawrence | Minnesota State | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Minnesota State | |
| Union | Minnesota State | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Minnesota State | |
| Yale | Yale | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Yale | |
| Boston College | Minnesota State | Minnesota State 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Boston University | Minnesota State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Minnesota State | |
| Connecticut | Connecticut | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Connecticut | |
| Holy Cross | Minnesota State | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Minnesota State | |
| Maine | Minnesota State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Minnesota State | |
| Merrimack | Minnesota State | Minnesota State 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| New Hampshire | Minnesota State | Minnesota State | ||
| Northeastern | Minnesota State | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Minnesota State | |
| Providence | Minnesota State | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) | Minnesota State | |
| Vermont | Minnesota State | Minnesota State 2- 1 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Assumption | Minnesota State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) | Minnesota State | |
| Franklin Pierce | Minnesota State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Minnesota State | |
| LIU | Minnesota State | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Minnesota State | |
| Post | Minnesota State | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | Minnesota State | |
| Sacred Heart | Minnesota State | Minnesota State | ||
| Saint Anselm | Minnesota State | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 0) | Minnesota State | |
| St.Michael's | Minnesota State | Minnesota State | ||
| Stonehill | Minnesota State | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Minnesota State | |
| Bemidji State | Minnesota State | Minnesota State | ||
| Minnesota | Minnesota State | Minnesota State | ||
| Minnesota Duluth | Minnesota Duluth | Minnesota Duluth | ||
| Ohio State | Ohio State | Ohio State | ||
| St. Cloud State | Minnesota State | insuffient: ( 4- 4)( 3- 5) | Minnesota State | |
| St. Thomas | Minnesota State | Minnesota State | ||
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | Wisconsin |
PowerWise = 34
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.18
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A RPI ( 7-28, 93.6) 3- 0 -6.33 1.60 0.39 0.95 3.78
0 A RPI ( 7-28, 93.6) 5- 3 -6.33 1.60 0.39 0.95 3.78
0 H Lindenwood (15-22, 94.8) 4- 0 -5.11 2.82 -0.39 0.95 4.63
0 H Lindenwood (15-22, 94.8) 3- 2 -5.11 2.82 -0.39 0.95 4.63
0 H St. Thomas (12-23, 96.2) 1- 2 -3.68 4.25 -0.39 0.95 -1.93
0 H St. Thomas (12-23, 96.2) 3- 0 -3.68 4.25 -0.39 0.95 7.37
0 A Minnesota Dulu (21-13, 97.7) 0- 5 -2.15 5.78 0.39 0.95 -0.84
0 A Minnesota Dulu (21-13, 97.7) 1- 3 -2.15 5.78 0.39 0.95 -0.84
0 A Wisconsin (30- 6, 99.8) 0- 4 -0.10 7.83 0.39 0.95 -0.14
0 A Wisconsin (30- 6, 99.8) 0- 8 -0.10 7.83 0.39 0.95 -0.14
0 H Bemidji State ( 7-25, 95.1) 2- 2 -4.81 3.12 -0.39 0.95 203.43
0 H Bemidji State ( 7-25, 95.1) 2- 0 -4.81 3.12 -0.39 0.95 5.21
0 A Ohio State (35- 4, 99.9) 2- 5 -0.00 7.93 0.39 0.95 -0.18
0 A Ohio State (35- 4, 99.9) 3- 7 -0.00 7.93 0.39 0.95 -0.18
0 A Minnesota (24-12, 98.4) 3- 1 -1.54 6.40 0.39 0.95 12.91
0 H Minnesota (24-12, 98.4) 4- 1 -1.54 6.40 -0.39 0.95 11.44
0 H Dartmouth ( 5-23, 93.9) 5- 2 -5.98 1.95 -0.39 0.95 2.98
0 H Dartmouth ( 5-23, 93.9) 5- 0 -5.98 1.95 -0.39 0.95 2.98
0 H Sacred Heart (14-27, 93.4) 2- 0 -6.52 1.41 -0.39 0.95 1.96
0 H St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.6) 0- 4 -3.32 4.61 -0.39 0.95 -1.76
0 H St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.6) 3- 2 -3.32 4.61 -0.39 0.95 8.05
0 H Minnesota (24-12, 98.4) 3- 1 -1.54 6.40 -0.39 0.95 11.44
0 A Minnesota (24-12, 98.4) 3- 4 -1.54 6.40 0.39 0.95 -0.55
0 H Ohio State (35- 4, 99.9) 4- 7 -0.00 7.93 -0.39 0.95 -0.18
0 H Ohio State (35- 4, 99.9) 1- 4 -0.00 7.93 -0.39 0.95 -0.18
0 H Minnesota Dulu (21-13, 97.7) 0- 3 -2.15 5.78 -0.39 0.95 -1.21
0 A Bemidji State ( 7-25, 95.1) 3- 0 -4.81 3.12 0.39 0.95 6.68
0 A Bemidji State ( 7-25, 95.1) 1- 2 -4.81 3.12 0.39 0.95 -2.11
0 A St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.6) 1- 5 -3.32 4.61 0.39 0.95 -1.40
0 A St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.6) 4- 1 -3.32 4.61 0.39 0.95 9.52
0 H Wisconsin (30- 6, 99.8) 1- 4 -0.10 7.83 -0.39 0.95 -0.23
0 H Wisconsin (30- 6, 99.8) 1- 5 -0.10 7.83 -0.39 0.95 -0.23
0 A St. Thomas (12-23, 96.2) 5- 2 -3.68 4.25 0.39 0.95 8.84
0 A St. Thomas (12-23, 96.2) 4- 3 -3.68 4.25 0.39 0.95 8.84
0 A Minnesota Dulu (21-13, 97.7) 0- 2 -2.15 5.78 0.39 0.95 -0.84
0 A Minnesota Dulu (21-13, 97.7) 2- 3 -2.15 5.78 0.39 0.95 -0.84
0 A Minnesota Dulu (21-13, 97.7) 2- 1 -2.15 5.78 0.39 0.95 11.74
0 A Wisconsin (30- 6, 99.8) 2- 7 -0.10 7.83 0.39 0.95 -0.14
------
316.29
|
winning pts = 126.7810 losing points = -13.9202
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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